Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2530
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
F9 2530 · DTW → MCO
departs 7:31 PM ET · arrives 10:16 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 AM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 44%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 35%
Mon 10/5 27%
Tue 10/6 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±1 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 7 mi Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.19 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.