Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2695 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Today

F9 2695 · SJU → PHL

departs 1:09 AM AT · arrives 4:36 AM ET

Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±1 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ F9's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 26% of the time recently

↑ SJU is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SJU (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling4,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

PHL (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 2695 · SJU → PHL

Odds over time