Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2695
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
F9 2695 · SJU → PHL
departs 5:45 PM AT · arrives 9:49 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 AM ET · 65h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 41%
Sat 10/3 39%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 41%
Tue 10/6 34%
Wed 10/7 33%
Thu 10/8 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
53%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
53%
Leave 15+ late
45%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
5.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed – in 24h
–
53%
Yes 53%
No 47%
Leave SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed – in 24h
–
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Arrive at PHL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to PHL?
On time or early
46%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
PHL is prone to delays
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at PHL that day
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
SJU is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
SJU (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.11 in
PHL (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.13 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.