Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 3021
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
F9 3021 · ATL → DFW
departs 10:54 AM ET · arrives 12:30 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 7:00 PM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 31%
Fri 10/2 50%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 26%
Mon 10/5 28%
Tue 10/6 20%
Wed 10/7 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
52%
chance · ±1 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
52%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
25%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
46%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↓
Other factors
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 3,800 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.43 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.35 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.