Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 3021
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
F9 3021 · ATL → DFW
departs 10:54 AM ET · arrives 12:30 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 AM ET · 53h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 58%
Sat 10/3 50%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 28%
Tue 10/6 20%
Wed 10/7 20%
Thu 10/8 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.5d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed – in 24h
–
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed – in 24h
–
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 30% of the time recently
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.8 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 1.80 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.