Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 3045 LANDED 8:07 AM CT, ~10 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Today

F9 3045 · ATL → MSP

took off 6:50 AM ET · landed 8:07 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 5:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±0 pts −9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ F9's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 34% of the time recently

↑ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from ATL are usually not late

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip0.22 in

MSP (destination) Gusts29 kt Ceiling8,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 3045 · ATL → MSP

Odds over time