Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 3075
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
F9 3075 · BWI → CLT
departs 4:19 PM ET · arrives 6:03 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 3:00 AM ET · 61h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Fri 10/2 31%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 26%
Mon 10/5 19%
Tue 10/6 15%
Wed 10/7 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±5 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed – in 24h
–
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed – in 24h
–
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at CLT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to CLT?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at CLT that day
↑
This flight has been late 27% of the time recently
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↓
Other factors
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI
Weather at each end
BWI (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 4,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
CLT (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.57 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.