Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 3134
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
F9 3134 · CLT → LGA
departs 5:43 PM ET · arrives 7:44 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 68h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 50%
Fri 10/2 76%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 49%
Mon 10/5 48%
Tue 10/6 38%
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
36%
chance · ±2 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
36%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Leave CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at LGA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to LGA?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 41% of the time recently
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at CLT that day
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA
Weather at each end
CLT (origin)
Gusts 16 kt
Ceiling 200 ft
Visibility 1 mi
Precip 0.31 in
LGA (destination)
Gusts 16 kt
Ceiling 6,400 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.