Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 3208
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
F9 3208 · DFW → IAD
departs 5:06 PM CT · arrives 9:12 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 9:00 AM ET · 33h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 30%
Tue 10/6 20%
Thu 10/8 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?
38%
chance · ±3 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
38%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at IAD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to IAD?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
5pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.8 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
IAD usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.32 in
IAD (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 1,900 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.