Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 3208
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
F9 3208 · DFW → IAD
departs 1:49 PM CT · arrives 6:01 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 56h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sat 10/3 37%
Sun 10/4
Tue 10/6 20%
Thu 10/8 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
33%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed – in 24h
–
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed – in 24h
–
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Arrive at IAD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed – in 24h
–
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to IAD?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
1pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at IAD that day
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
IAD usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.05 in
IAD (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.27 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.