Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1441 LANDED 8:23 PM CT, ~6 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

G4 1441 · VPS → BLV

took off 6:58 PM CT · landed 8:23 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at BLV more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at VPS that day

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ VPS usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BLV

Weather at each end

VPS (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.18 in

BLV (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 1441 · VPS → BLV

Odds over time