Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2694
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Yesterday
G4 2694 · PIE → USA
departs 12:18 PM ET · arrives 1:58 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sat 10/3
Today 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at USA more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±0 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.6d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at USA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave PIE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at USA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to USA?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at PIE that day
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at USA that day
↑
12pm departures from PIE are often late
↓
USA usually runs smoothly
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PIE (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
USA (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 1.5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.