Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 939
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Yesterday
G4 939 · PGD → LEX
departs 6:00 AM ET · arrives 8:09 AM ET
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 16h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sat 10/3
Mon 10/5 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at LEX more than 15 minutes late?
7%
chance · ±0 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
7%
Leave 15+ late
5%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.3d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LEX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Leave PGD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Arrive at LEX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LEX?
On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at LEX that day
↑
This flight has been late 17% of the time recently
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
6am departures from PGD are usually not late
Weather at each end
PGD (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 2,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
LEX (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.