MQ 3351 · MIA → AVL

departs 9:43 PM ET · arrives 11:45 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to AVL?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at AVL that day

↑ 9pm departures from MIA are often late

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling3,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AVL (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1.25 mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3351 · MIA → AVL

Odds over time

How late will it get to AVL?