Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3405
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
MQ 3405 · AVL → MIA
departs 6:00 AM ET · arrives 8:04 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 13h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 12%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 13%
Mon 10/5 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
10%
chance · ±0 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
10%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
12%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.3d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Leave AVL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at MIA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
How late will it get to MIA?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
12%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
MIA is prone to delays
↑
MQ's recent on-time record
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
6am departures from AVL are usually not late
Weather at each end
AVL (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.43 in
MIA (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.