Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3422
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
MQ 3422 · GSP → CLT
departs 7:30 PM ET · arrives 8:40 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 29%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 45%
Mon 10/5 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±5 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave GSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at CLT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to CLT?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, 1.1 in of rain forecast at CLT that day
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at GSP that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
GSP (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.44 in
CLT (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 1.08 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.