MQ 3422 · MIA → BHM

took off 1:47 PM ET · landed 2:19 PM CT (scheduled 1:53 PM ET → 2:59 PM CT)

Forecast issued Sat 2:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at BHM more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to BHM?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from MIA are often late

↑ MIA is prone to delays

↑ MIA is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BHM

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling3,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BHM (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling8,333 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3422 · MIA → BHM

Odds over time

How late did it get to BHM?