MQ 3441 · DCA → CMH

took off 10:14 PM ET · landed 11:13 PM ET (scheduled 8:56 PM ET → 10:18 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to CMH?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
✓
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from DCA are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into CMH at that hour are often late

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CMH

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling3,900 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.35 in

CMH (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3441 · DCA → CMH

Odds over time

How late did it get to CMH?