Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3562
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Today
MQ 3562 · CLT → HHH
departs 1:48 PM ET · arrives 3:04 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 7:00 AM ET · 7h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 28%
Mon 10/5 24%
Fri 10/9 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at HHH more than 15 minutes late?
43%
chance · ±0 pts
+17 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
43%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.7d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HHH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +17 pts in 24h
+17 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Leave CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at HHH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to HHH?
On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at CLT that day
↑
0.4 in of rain forecast at HHH that day
↑
1pm departures from CLT are often late
↓
HHH usually runs smoothly
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
CLT (origin)
Gusts 13 kt
Ceiling 600 ft
Visibility 5 mi
Precip 0.51 in
HHH (destination)
Gusts 10 kt
Ceiling 2,800 ft
Visibility 9 mi
Precip 0.38 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.