Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3579
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
MQ 3579 · DFW → HSV
departs 5:10 PM CT · arrives 7:07 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 28h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 49%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 36%
Mon 10/5 19%
Wed 10/7 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at HSV more than 15 minutes late?
34%
chance · ±3 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
34%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HSV more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at HSV more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to HSV?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
5pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
HSV usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.32 in
HSV (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.12 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.