Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3579
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
MQ 3579 · DFW → HSV
departs 5:10 PM CT · arrives 7:07 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 PM ET · 51h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 45%
Sat 10/3 39%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at HSV more than 15 minutes late?
34%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
34%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HSV more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed – in 24h
–
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed – in 24h
–
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at HSV more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to HSV?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at HSV that day
↑
5pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
HSV usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 867 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.03 in
HSV (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.95 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.