Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3591
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
MQ 3591 · IAH → DFW
departs 11:32 AM CT · arrives 12:59 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 18h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±3 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.6d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
59%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↑
This flight has been late 28% of the time recently
↓
Other factors
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.12 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.61 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.