Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3591
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
MQ 3591 · IAH → DFW
departs 11:32 AM CT · arrives 12:59 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sat 10/3 37%
Sun 10/4
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±4 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at DFW that day
↑
This flight has been late 28% of the time recently
↑
11am departures from IAH are often late
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.10 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.