Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3628
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
MQ 3628 · DFW → LIT
departs 7:12 AM CT · arrives 8:35 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 AM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 26%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 14%
Mon 10/5 10%
Tue 10/6 8%
Wed 10/7 7%
Thu 10/8 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at LIT more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±2 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.4d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LIT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at LIT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to LIT?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at LIT that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Arrivals into LIT at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.52 in
LIT (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.