Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3628
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
MQ 3628 · DFW → LIT
departs 7:12 AM CT · arrives 8:35 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 AM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Sat 10/3 16%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 10%
Tue 10/6 8%
Wed 10/7 7%
Thu 10/8 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at LIT more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±0 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.4d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LIT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at LIT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to LIT?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at DFW that day
↑
DFW is busy at that time
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Arrivals into LIT at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.08 in
LIT (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.