Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3652
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
MQ 3652 · MAF → DFW
departs 2:21 PM CT · arrives 3:47 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 48%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 28%
Mon 10/5 22%
Wed 10/7 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
38%
chance · ±2 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
38%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
5%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.7d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Leave MAF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at MAF that day
Weather at each end
MAF (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.32 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.