Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3652
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
MQ 3652 · MAF → DFW
departs 2:21 PM CT · arrives 3:47 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 44%
Sat 10/3 37%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±1 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave MAF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at DFW that day
↑
DFW is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MAF
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MAF (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DFW (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.