Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3692
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
MQ 3692 · CLT → LIT
departs 9:15 PM ET · arrives 10:28 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 4:00 PM ET · 53h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 38%
Fri 10/2 30%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 25%
Mon 10/5 20%
Tue 10/6 20%
Wed 10/7 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at LIT more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
33%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LIT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Arrive at LIT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LIT?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at CLT that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into LIT at that hour are often late
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
CLT is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
CLT (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.79 in
LIT (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.08 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.