Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3743
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
MQ 3743 · MIA → PNS
departs 5:56 PM ET · arrives 6:53 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 25h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 26%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 16%
Mon 10/5 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at PNS more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±3 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
14%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PNS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at PNS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
How late will it get to PNS?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
14%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 2.1 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PNS that day
↑
5pm departures from MIA are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
PNS usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA
Weather at each end
MIA (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
PNS (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 2.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.