MQ 3867 · MIA → CHS

took off 4:22 PM ET · landed 5:44 PM ET (scheduled 3:50 PM ET → 5:39 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at CHS more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to CHS?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from MIA are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at CHS that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ CHS usually runs smoothly

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling3,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CHS (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.21 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3867 · MIA → CHS

Odds over time

How late did it get to CHS?