Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3951
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
MQ 3951 · GPT → DFW
departs 5:14 AM CT · arrives 7:10 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 AM ET · 24h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 28%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 22%
Mon 10/5 11%
Tue 10/6 8%
Wed 10/7 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±5 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.3d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave GPT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.8 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 1.7 in of rain forecast at GPT that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
GPT (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 1.72 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.77 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.