Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3990
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
MQ 3990 · CLT → COU
departs 8:40 PM ET · arrives 9:52 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 AM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 23%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 37%
Mon 10/5 16%
Tue 10/6 16%
Wed 10/7 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at COU more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±6 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at COU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at COU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to COU?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at CLT that day
↑
8pm departures from CLT are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at COU
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
CLT (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.74 in
COU (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.