Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 4006
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
MQ 4006 · COU → CLT
departs 7:20 AM CT · arrives 10:25 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 AM ET · 31h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 13%
Mon 10/5 12%
Tue 10/6 10%
Wed 10/7 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±2 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
17%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.4d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Leave COU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at CLT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CLT?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
COU is prone to delays
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at CLT that day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at COU
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
COU (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
CLT (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.39 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.