Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 4066
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
MQ 4066 · CAE → DFW
departs 7:00 AM ET · arrives 8:50 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 AM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 31%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 28%
Mon 10/5 11%
Tue 10/6 9%
Wed 10/7 10%
Thu 10/8 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±3 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.4d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave CAE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.8 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↑
MQ's recent on-time record
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
7am departures from CAE are usually not late
Weather at each end
CAE (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.46 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.77 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.