Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 4100
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
MQ 4100 · DFW → CRP
departs 7:05 AM CT · arrives 8:31 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 AM ET · 28h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 31%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 16%
Mon 10/5 8%
Tue 10/6 6%
Wed 10/7 5%
Odds over time
Arrive at CRP more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±4 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
10%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.4d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CRP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at CRP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
How late will it get to CRP?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
10%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
0.7 in of rain forecast at CRP that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Arrivals into CRP at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.77 in
CRP (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.55 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.