Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 4100
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
MQ 4100 · DFW → CRP
departs 7:05 AM CT · arrives 8:31 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 AM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Sat 10/3 20%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 8%
Tue 10/6 6%
Wed 10/7 5%
Odds over time
Arrive at CRP more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±3 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
17%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
5%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.4d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CRP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at CRP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to CRP?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, 0.7 in of rain forecast at CRP that day
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at DFW that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Arrivals into CRP at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.08 in
CRP (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.45 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.