Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 4148
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
MQ 4148 · HSV → MIA
departs 6:06 AM CT · arrives 9:15 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 9:00 PM ET · 10h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±0 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.4d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave HSV more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at MIA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MIA?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
HSV is prone to delays
↑
This flight has been late 25% of the time recently
↑
MIA is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA
Weather at each end
HSV (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.08 in
MIA (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.