MQ 4166 · MIA → SAV

departs 5:13 PM ET · arrives 6:51 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 1:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at SAV more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SAV?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at SAV that day

↑ 5pm departures from MIA are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling3,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SAV (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precip0.33 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 4166 · MIA → SAV

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAV?