Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5015 LANDED 4:27 PM ET, ~18 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

OH 5015 · LEX → CLT

took off 3:23 PM ET · landed 4:27 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ Other factors

↑ Arrivals into CLT at that hour are often late

↓ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at LEX that day

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LEX (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

CLT (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.22 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5015 · LEX → CLT

Odds over time