OH 5041 · TVC → CLT

departs 1:39 PM ET · arrives 3:49 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

21% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ CLT is busy at that time

↑ Arrivals into CLT at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at TVC

↓ TVC is quiet at that time

Weather at each end

TVC (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CLT (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.44 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5041 · TVC → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?