Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5052 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3

OH 5052 · AVL → DCA

departs 12:19 PM ET · arrives 1:59 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 12:00 PM ET · 48h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 40% of the time recently

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at AVL that day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ AVL is quiet at that time

Weather at each end

AVL (origin) Gusts5 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precip0.39 in

DCA (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling4,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.13 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5052 · AVL → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?