OH 5059 · DCA → BDL

took off 1:19 PM ET · landed 2:09 PM ET (scheduled 11:59 AM ET → 1:27 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sat 6:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at BDL more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to BDL?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ 0.4 in of rain forecast at DCA that day

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ BDL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.35 in

BDL (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5059 · DCA → BDL

Odds over time

How late did it get to BDL?