Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5080 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3

OH 5080 · BHM → DCA

departs 10:03 AM CT · arrives 1:15 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 3:00 PM ET · 44h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±2 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into DCA at that hour are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

BHM (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling3,033 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.10 in

DCA (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.19 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5080 · BHM → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?