OH 5095 · DCA → CAE

departs 5:04 PM ET · arrives 6:45 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 AM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at CAE more than 15 minutes late?

53% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CAE?

On time or early
46%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
19%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from DCA are often late

↑ This flight has been late 34% of the time recently

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ CAE usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.43 in

CAE (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.33 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5095 · DCA → CAE

Odds over time

How late will it get to CAE?