OH 5130 · CLT → CHA

departs 2:31 PM ET · arrives 3:48 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 AM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at CHA more than 15 minutes late?

49% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CHA?

On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
24%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ 2pm departures from CLT are often late

↓ Other factors

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.51 in

CHA (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.11 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5130 · CLT → CHA

Odds over time

How late will it get to CHA?