Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5206 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3

OH 5206 · CLT → LFT

departs 8:37 PM ET · arrives 9:58 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 2:00 PM ET · 55h before departure

Arrive at LFT more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LFT?

On time or early
59%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ 8pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, 0.8 in of rain forecast at LFT that day

↓ LFT usually runs smoothly

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.53 in

LFT (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.81 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5206 · CLT → LFT

Odds over time

How late will it get to LFT?