OH 5211 · CLT → RAP

took off 11:29 AM ET · landed 12:37 PM MT (scheduled 11:10 AM ET → 12:55 PM MT)

Forecast issued Sat 3:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at RAP more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to RAP?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ Gusts to 37 kt forecast at RAP that day

↑ This flight has been late 20% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ RAP usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.21 in

RAP (destination) Gusts37 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5211 · CLT → RAP

Odds over time

How late did it get to RAP?