OH 5232 · CLT → TYS

departs 9:29 PM ET · arrives 10:38 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 AM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at TYS more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to TYS?

On time or early
59%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ 9pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↓ TYS usually runs smoothly

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.51 in

TYS (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.57 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5232 · CLT → TYS

Odds over time

How late will it get to TYS?