Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5264 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow

OH 5264 · CLT → BWI

departs 7:31 AM ET · arrives 9:05 AM ET

Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BWI?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 18% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into BWI at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.54 in

BWI (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5264 · CLT → BWI

Odds over time

How late will it get to BWI?