Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5283 LANDED 1:21 AM ET, ~10 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

OH 5283 · DCA → MHT

took off 12:15 AM ET · landed 1:21 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 22h after departure

Arrive at MHT more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 38% of the time recently

↑ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at DCA that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into MHT at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling3,900 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.35 in

MHT (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5283 · DCA → MHT

Odds over time